Sebelius for Veep a bad idea for Obama.....so do it!

So, over my pot of coffee this morning I was reading a story in the KC Star speculating the opportunity of Gov. Sebelius or Senator McCaskill to be the choice Obama as a running mate.

The pundits like to point to the notion that Sebelius won a solid red state twice and that she is a woman for reasons she would be a good choice. They claim the dems hold her in awe.

For me, it is such a simplistic view. If you really look at it there are reasons, and my conservative friends would kill me for pointing them all out here, why her success in Kansas as governor wouldn't translate into Kansas going blue in the next presidential election. I won't even get into the issues, just the obvious.

Let's keep in mind the political envirnonment in which she has won twice. There is a fight in the Kansas Republican party that has been waged for several years now over who is going to control the party. The very conservative right wing who are both socially and fiscally conservative and enjoy the support of the right to life and NRA crowd groups have been losing their iron clad grip on the party to the more socially moderate republicans in the state. It has been a really bloody fight that put Sebelius in the governor's mansion and has entrenched Dennis Moore in Congress. So, the ultras control in the infrastructure of the party and thus continue to push their candidates out of the machine and out of the primaries into general elections. They are too conservative for the majority of up and down the street republicans in Kansas and they reject them in the voting booth. The Dems got wise and started putting more moderate candidates against them and as a result many moderate conservatives have crossed the line in recent years. They are still Republicans, still conservative, they just aren't as ultra conservative as those running the party. I'm still convinced that a candidate that is not as right wing....socially a little more moderate and fiscally conservative can beat Dennis Moore and win back the governor's mansion. It is all about candidates and match ups. Any fantasy football guy can tell you that.

For Kansas, the democrats haven't been winning....the republicans have been losing....er, giving it away. Pride came before the fall and we will continue to fall until we get better candidates.

So, what happens if Sebelius is picked as Obama's running mate? My prediction is that Obama still won't carry Kansas. McCain represents more of what the majority of moderate Kansas republicans in the state prefer over the populist and more liberal Obama. She has been a do nothing governor who I'm guessing the majority of Kansans wouldn't even be able to name if quizzed. In presidential politics, I think Kansas will remain a red state, regardless if Sebelius is on the ticket or not.

Then there was The Speech. The state of union dem response delivered by Sebelius. A very well written and poorly delivered speech. Would have months more of that? She was visibly nervous on the national stage. That won't work.

Of course, it is hard to imagine the impact she might have on other swing states. I would view her as more of a populist herself than a liberal. She beat ultra conservative republicans both times and the second effort by the republicans was almost non existent. They walked away from the race which I have to admit was embarrassing. Could she help win Missouri which is actually really considered a swing state? I think Obama has a strong chance of taking it anyway after the term of Boy Wonder Blunt. I think McCaskill will have more to do with Obama winning Missouri than Sebelius ever would. I think whoever whichever party wins the governor's race in Missouri also gets it for the presidential election. It also depends on how many times each person living on the north side of St. Louis gets to vote. Ohio? I don't know. Florida.....probably not. Where is the advantage? If you ask Kansans what they think about her they would tell you, "nothing"....as in they don't think of her. She is not on their mind. You have to do something to be thought of by us. She has flown below the radar for the past two terms. Very inspiring. I guess that might be what you want as a Veep.

So, I say he should definitely do it. She is perfect for you, Obama. Take her for your ticket. Maybe someone will actually start to look at what she did as governor..........and find nothing. I guess that is safe but maybe it will help us get the office back in Kansas. I'd love to see the rally of Kansans flocking to support McCain. This could work.......I'm liking the sound of it...Obama Sebelius.

And.......let's jump to the ridiculous..........Obama picks Sebelius and Obama actually wins. Eight years of Obama and then a Sebelius candidacy for President? Can you see me rolling my eyes like an eight year old being told to clean their room?